Complementariedade do escore NUTRIC modificado com ou sem proteína C-reativa e avaliação subjetiva global na predição de mortalidade em pacientes críticos / Complementarity of modified NUTRIC score with or without C-reactive protein and subjective global assessment in predicting mortality in critically ill patients

RESUMO Objetivo: Avaliar a concordância entre o escore NUTRIC modificado e o escore NUTRIC com proteína C-reativa na identificação de pacientes em risco nutricional e na predição da mortalidade entre pacientes críticos. Avaliou-se também o risco de óbito com agrupamento dos pacientes segundo o risco nutricional e a desnutrição detectada pela avaliação subjetiva global. Métodos: Estudo de coorte em pacientes admitidos em uma unidade de terapia intensiva. O risco nutricional foi avaliado por meio do escore NUTRIC modificado e uma versão do escore NUTRIC com proteína C-reativa. Aplicou-se avaliação subjetiva global para diagnóstico de desnutrição. Calculou-se a estatística de Kappa e construiu-se uma curva ROC considerando o NUTRIC modificado como referência. A validade preditiva foi avaliada considerando a mortalidade em 28 dias (na unidade de terapia intensiva e após a alta) como desfecho. Resultados: Estudaram-se 130 pacientes (63,05 ± 16,46 anos, 53,8% do sexo masculino). Segundo o NUTRIC com proteína C-reativa, 34,4% foram classificados como escore alto, enquanto 28,5% dos pacientes tiveram esta classificação com utilização do NUTRIC modificado. Segundo a avaliação subjetiva global, 48,1% dos pacientes estavam desnutridos. Observou-se concordância excelente entre o NUTRIC modificado e o NUTRIC com proteína C-reativa (Kappa = 0,88; p < 0,001). A área sob a curva ROC foi igual a 0,942 (0,881 - 1,000) para o NUTRIC com proteína C-reativa. O risco de óbito em 28 dias estava aumentado nos pacientes com escores elevados pelo NUTRIC modificado (HR = 1,827; IC95% 1,029 - 3,244; p = 0,040) e pelo NUTRIC com proteína C-reativa (HR = 2,685; IC95% 1,423 - 5,064; p = 0,002). Observou-se elevado risco de óbito nos pacientes com alto risco nutricional e desnutrição, independentemente da versão do NUTRIC aplicada. Conclusão: A concordância entre o escore NUTRIC modificado e o NUTRIC com proteína C-reativa foi excelente. Além disto, a combinação da avaliação com um escore NUTRIC mais avaliação subjetiva global pode aumentar a precisão para predição de mortalidade em pacientes críticos.

ABSTRACT Objective: To evaluate the concordance between the modified NUTRIC and NUTRIC with C-reactive protein instruments in identifying nutritional risk patients and predicting mortality in critically ill patients. The risk of death in patient groups was also investigated according to nutritional risk and malnutrition detected by subjective global assessment. Methods: A cohort study of patients admitted to an intensive care unit. Nutritional risk was assessed by modified NUTRIC and a version of NUTRIC with C-reactive protein. Subjective global assessment was applied to diagnose malnutrition. Kappa statistics were calculated, and an ROC curve was constructed considering modified NUTRIC as a reference. The predictive validity was assessed considering mortality in 28 days (whether in the intensive care unit or after discharge) as the outcome. Results: A total of 130 patients were studied (63.05 ± 16.46 years, 53.8% males). According to NUTRIC with C-reactive protein, 34.4% were classified as having a high score, while 28.5% of patients had this classification with modified NUTRIC. According to SGA 48.1% of patients were malnourished. There was excellent agreement between modified NUTRIC and NUTRIC with C-reactive protein (Kappa = 0.88, p < 0.001). The area under the ROC curve was equal to 0.942 (0.881 - 1.000) for NUTRIC with C-reactive protein. The risk of death within 28 days was increased in patients with high modified NUTRIC (HR = 1.827; 95%CI 1.029 - 3.244; p = 0.040) and NUTRIC with C-reactive protein (HR = 2.685; 95%CI 1.423 - 5.064; p = 0.002) scores. A high risk of death was observed in patients with high nutritional risk and malnutrition, independent of the version of the NUTRIC score applied. Conclusion: An excellent agreement between modified NUTRIC and NUTRIC with C-reactive protein was observed. In addition, combining NUTRIC and subjective global assessment may increase the accuracy of predicting mortality in critically ill patients.

Clinical and laboratory characteristics associated with referral of hospitalized elderly to palliative care / Características clínicas e laboratoriais associadas à indicação de cuidados paliativos em idosos hospitalizados

ABSTRACT Objective To investigate clinical and laboratory characteristics associated with referral of acutely ill older adults to exclusive palliative care. Methods A retrospective cohort study based on 572 admissions of acutely ill patients aged 60 years or over to a university hospital located in São Paulo, Brazil, from 2009 to 2013. The primary outcome was the clinical indication for exclusive palliative care. Comprehensive geriatric assessments were used to measure target predictors, such as sociodemographic, clinical, cognitive, functional and laboratory data. Stepwise logistic regression was used to identify independent predictors of palliative care. Results Exclusive palliative care was indicated in 152 (27%) cases. In the palliative care group, in-hospital mortality and 12 month cumulative mortality amounted to 50% and 66%, respectively. Major conditions prompting referral to palliative care were advanced dementia (45%), cancer (38%), congestive heart failure (25%), stage IV and V renal dysfunction (24%), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (8%) and cirrhosis (4%). Major complications observed in the palliative care group included delirium (p<0.001), infections (p<0.001) and pressure ulcers (p<0.001). Following multivariate analysis, male sex (OR=2.12; 95%CI: 1.32-3.40), cancer (OR=7.36; 95%CI: 4.26-13.03), advanced dementia (OR=12.6; 95%CI: 7.5-21.2), and albumin levels (OR=0.25; 95%CI: 0.17-0.38) were identified as independent predictors of referral to exclusive palliative care. Conclusion Advanced dementia and cancer were the major clinical conditions associated with referral of hospitalized older adults to exclusive palliative care. High short-term mortality suggests prognosis should be better assessed and discussed with patients and families in primary care settings.

RESUMO Objetivo Investigar as características clínicas e laboratoriais associadas à indicação de cuidados paliativos exclusivos em idosos gravemente enfermos. Métodos Neste estudo retrospectivo de coorte, foram incluídas 572 admissões de pacientes gravemente enfermos com idade igual ou superior a 60 anos, em um hospital universitário, em São Paulo, no período de 2009 a 2013. O desfecho primário foi a indicação clínica de cuidados exclusivamente paliativos. Empregamos avaliações geriátricas amplas padronizadas para mensurar preditores de interesse, incluindo informações sociodemográficas, clínicas, cognitivas, funcionais e laboratoriais. Utilizamos modelos de regressão logística stepwise para identificar preditores independentes de cuidados paliativos. Resultados Foram indicados cuidados exclusivamente paliativos em 152 (27%) casos. No grupo de cuidados paliativos, a mortalidade hospitalar foi de 50%, sendo que a mortalidade acumulada em 12 meses atingiu 66%. Os diagnósticos mais frequentemente apontados como motivadores de cuidados paliativos foram demência avançada (45%), câncer (38%), insuficiência cardíaca congestiva (25%), insuficiência renal estágios 4 e 5 (24%), doença pulmonar obstrutiva crônica (8%) e cirrose (4%). As complicações mais comuns no grupo de cuidados paliativos foram delírio (p<0,001), infecções (p<0,001) e úlceras por pressão (p<0,001). Após análise multivariada, sexo masculino (OR=2,12; IC95%: 1,32-3,40), câncer (OR=7,36; IC95%: 4,26-13,03), demência avançada (OR=12,6; IC95%: 7,5-21,2) e níveis de albumina (OR=0,25; IC95%: 0,17-0,38) foram identificados como preditores independentes da indicação de cuidados exclusivamente paliativos. Conclusão Demência avançada e câncer foram as condições clínicas mais frequentemente associadas à indicação de cuidados paliativos exclusivos em idosos hospitalizados. A elevada mortalidade a curto prazo sugere que o prognóstico deva ser melhor avaliado e discutido com os pacientes e suas famílias no ambiente de Atenção Primária.

Characteristics and Outcomes of Intensive Care Unit Survivors: Experience of a Multidisciplinary Outpatient Clinic in a Teaching Hospital

OBJECTIVES: To describe the experience of an outpatient clinic with the multidisciplinary evaluation of intensive care unit survivors and to analyze their social, psychological, and physical characteristics in a low-income population and a developing country. METHODS: Retrospective cohort study. Adult survivors from a general intensive care unit were evaluated three months after discharge in a post-intensive care unit outpatient multidisciplinary clinic over a period of 6 years (2008-2014) in a University Hospital in southern Brazil. RESULTS: A total of 688 out of 1945 intensive care unit survivors received care at the clinic. Of these, 45.2% had psychological disorders (particularly depression), 49.0% had respiratory impairments (abnormal spirometry), and 24.6% had moderate to intense dyspnea during daily life activities. Patients experienced weight loss during hospitalization (mean=11.7%) but good recovery after discharge (mean gain=9.1%), and 94.6% were receiving nutrition orally. One-third of patients showed a reduction of peripheral muscular strength, and 5.7% had moderate to severe tetraparesis or tetraplegia. There was a significant impairment in quality of life (SF-36), particularly in the physical and emotional aspects and in functional capacity. The economic impacts on the affected families, which were mostly low-income families, were considerable. Most patients did not have full access to rehabilitation services, even though half of the families were receiving financial support from the government. CONCLUSIONS: A significant number of intensive care unit survivors evaluated 3 months after discharge had psychological, respiratory, motor, and socioeconomic problems; these findings highlight that strategies aimed to assist critically ill patients should be extended to the post-hospitalization period and that this problem is particularly important in low-income populations.

Caring for critically ill patients outside intensive care units due to full units: a cohort study

OBJECTIVES: This study sought to analyze the clinical and epidemiologic characteristics of critically ill patients who were denied intensive care unit admission due to the unavailability of beds and to estimate the direct costs of treatment. METHODS: A prospective cohort study was performed with critically ill patients treated in a university hospital. All consecutive patients denied intensive care unit beds due to a full unit from February 2012 to February 2013 were included. The data collected included clinical data, calculation of costs, prognostic scores, and outcomes. The patients were followed for data collection until intensive care unit admission or cancellation of the request for the intensive care unit bed. Vital status at hospital discharge was noted, and patients were classified as survivors or non-survivors considering this endpoint. RESULTS: Four hundred and fifty-four patients were analyzed. Patients were predominantly male (54.6%), and the median age was 62 (interquartile range (ITQ): 47 - 73) years. The median APACHE II score was 22.5 (ITQ: 16 - 29). Invasive mechanical ventilation was used in 298 patients (65.6%), and vasoactive drugs were used in 44.9% of patients. The median time of follow-up was 3 days (ITQ: 2 - 6); after this time, 204 patients were admitted to the intensive care unit and 250 had the intensive care unit bed request canceled. The median total cost per patient was US$ 5,945.98. CONCLUSIONS: Patients presented a high severity in terms of disease scores, had multiple organ dysfunction and needed multiple invasive therapeutic interventions. The study patients received intensive care with specialized consultation during their stay in the hospital wards and presented high costs of treatment.

Critérios para síndrome de resposta inflamatória sistêmica e predição de mortalidade hospitalar em pacientes críticos: estudo retrospectivo de coorte / Systemic inflammatory response syndrome criteria and the prediction of hospital mortality in critically ill patients: a retrospective cohort study

RESUMO Objetivo: Determinar se os critérios para definição de síndrome de resposta inflamatória sistêmica podem predizer a mortalidade hospitalar em uma coorte brasileira de pacientes críticos. Métodos: Conduzimos um estudo retrospectivo de coorte em um hospital terciário privado localizado na cidade de São Paulo (SP). Extraímos as informações da base de dados de uma unidade de terapia intensiva para adultos (Sistema EpimedTM). Comparamos o SAPS 3 e o modelo da síndrome de resposta inflamatória sistêmica de forma dicotomizada (≥ 2 critérios, para síndrome de resposta inflamatória sistêmica positiva, em comparação com zero a um critério, para síndrome de resposta inflamatória sistêmica negativa) e variáveis ordinais de zero a 4 (segundo o número de critérios preenchidos para síndrome de resposta inflamatória sistêmica) para predição de mortalidade hospitalar por ocasião da admissão à unidade. A discriminação do modelo foi comparada com uso da área sob a curva receiver operating characteristics (ASCROC). Resultados: Entre janeiro e dezembro de 2012, estudamos 932 pacientes (60,4% deles eram síndrome de resposta inflamatória sistêmica positiva). Os pacientes positivos para síndrome de resposta inflamatória sistêmica estavam em estado crítico mais grave do que os negativos, e tiveram mortalidade hospitalar mais elevada (16,9% versus 8,1%; p < 0,001). Na análise ajustada, ser síndrome de resposta inflamatória sistêmica positivo aumentou de forma independente o risco de óbito em 82% (OR 1,82; IC95% 1,12 - 2,96; p = 0,016). Entretanto, a ASCROC para os critérios do modelo SAPS 3 foi mais elevada (0,81; IC95% 0,78 - 0,85) em comparação ao modelo síndrome de resposta inflamatória sistêmica, tendo os critérios para síndrome de resposta inflamatória sistêmica de forma dicotomizada (0,60; IC95% 0,55 - 0,65) e como variável ordinal (0,62; IC95% 0,57 - 0,68; p < 0,001) para mortalidade hospitalar. Conclusão: Embora a síndrome de resposta inflamatória sistêmica se associe com mortalidade hospitalar, os critérios para esta síndrome tiveram baixa acurácia para predição da mortalidade, quando comparados ao SAPS 3.

ABSTRACT Objective: This study intended to determine whether the systemic inflammatory response syndrome criteria can predict hospital mortality in a Brazilian cohort of critically ill patients. Methods: We performed a retrospective cohort study at a private tertiary hospital in São Paulo (SP), Brazil. We extracted information from the adult intensive care unit database (Sistema EpimedTM). We compared the SAPS 3 and the systemic inflammatory response syndrome model as dichotomous (≥ 2 criteria: systemic inflammatory response syndrome -positive versus 0 - 1 criterion: systemic inflammatory response syndrome -negative) and ordinal variables from 0 to 4 (according to the number of systemic inflammatory response syndrome criteria met) in the prediction of hospital mortality at intensive care unit admission. Model discrimination was compared using the area under the receiver operating characteristics (AUROC) curve. Results: From January to December 2012, we studied 932 patients (60.4% were systemic inflammatory response syndrome -positive). systemic inflammatory response syndrome -positive patients were more critically ill than systemic inflammatory response syndrome -negative patients and had higher hospital mortality (16.9% versus 8.1%, p < 0.001). In the adjusted analysis, being systemic inflammatory response syndrome -positive independently increased the risk of death by 82% (odds ratio 1.82; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.12 - 2.96, p = 0.016). However, the AUROC curve for the SAPS 3 model was higher (0.81, 95%CI 0.78 - 0.85) compared to the systemic inflammatory response syndrome model with the systemic inflammatory response syndrome criteria as a dichotomous variable (0.60, 95%CI 0.55 - 0.65) and as an ordinal variable (0.62, 95%CI 0.57 - 0.68; p < 0.001) for hospital mortality. Conclusion: Although systemic inflammatory response syndrome is associated with hospital mortality, the systemic inflammatory response syndrome criteria show low accuracy in the prediction of mortality compared with the SAPS 3.

Doença crítica crônica: estamos salvando ou criando vítimas? / Chronic critical illness: are we saving patients or creating victims?

RESUMO Os avanços tecnológicos que permitem dar suporte às disfunções de órgãos levaram a um aumento nas taxas de sobrevivência para a maioria dos pacientes críticos. Alguns destes pacientes sobrevivem à condição crítica inicial, porém continuam a sofrer com disfunções de órgãos e permanecem em estado inflamatório por longos períodos. Este grupo de pacientes críticos foi descrito desde os anos 1980 e teve diferentes critérios diagnósticos ao longo dos anos. Sabe-se que estes pacientes têm longas permanências no hospital, sofrem importantes alterações do metabolismo muscular e ósseo, apresentam imunodeficiência, consomem quantias substanciais de recursos de saúde, têm reduzida capacidade funcional e cognitiva após a alta, demandam uma considerável carga de trabalho para seus cuidadores, e apresentam elevadas taxas de mortalidade em longo prazo. O objetivo desta revisão foi apresentar as evidências atuais, em termos de definição, fisiopatologia, manifestações clínicas, tratamento e prognóstico da doença crítica persistente.

ABSTRACT The technological advancements that allow support for organ dysfunction have led to an increase in survival rates for the most critically ill patients. Some of these patients survive the initial acute critical condition but continue to suffer from organ dysfunction and remain in an inflammatory state for long periods of time. This group of critically ill patients has been described since the 1980s and has had different diagnostic criteria over the years. These patients are known to have lengthy hospital stays, undergo significant alterations in muscle and bone metabolism, show immunodeficiency, consume substantial health resources, have reduced functional and cognitive capacity after discharge, create a sizable workload for caregivers, and present high long-term mortality rates. The aim of this review is to report on the most current evidence in terms of the definition, pathophysiology, clinical manifestations, treatment, and prognosis of persistent critical illness.

Fatores relacionados à ocorrência de eventos adversos em pacientes idosos críticos / Factores relacionados con el acaecimiento de eventos adversos en pacientes críticos de edad avanzada / Factors associated with the occurrence of adverse events in critical elderly patients

RESUMO Objetivo: identificar os fatores relacionados à ocorrência de eventos adversos em pacientes idosos críticos internados em Unidade de Terapia Intensiva segundo características demográficas e clínicas. Método: estudo de coorte retrospectivo realizado em nove unidades de um hospital universitário. Os dados foram coletados dos prontuários e do acompanhamento de passagens de plantão de enfermagem. Utilizou-se o Teste-t/Mann-Whitney, Qui-quadrado e Regressão Logística para verificar associações. Nível de significância de 5%. Resultados: do total de 315 idosos, 94 sofreram eventos. Os que sofreram eventos eram homens (60,6%), com média de idade de 70,7 anos, permanência de 10,6 dias e sobreviventes (61,7%). Dos 183 eventos, houve predomínio do tipo processo clínico e procedimento (37,1%). Houve associação entre evento adverso e tempo de permanência na unidade (p=0,000; OR=1,10; IC95%=[1,06;1,14]). Conclusão: a identificação dos eventos e fatores associados no idoso subsidiam a prevenção dessas ocorrências perante as vulnerabilidades dessa faixa etária.

RESUMEN Objetivo: identificar los factores relacionados con el acaecimiento de eventos adversos en pacientes críticos de edad avanzada según características demográficas y clínicas, internados en Unidades de Terapia Intensiva. Método: estudio de corte retrospectivo realizado en nueve unidades de un hospital universitario. Se recolectaron datos de los prontuarios y del acompañamiento de la guardia de enfermería. Las asociaciones se comprobaron mediante la Prueba de Mann-Whitney, la distribución de Pearson (ji cuadrado) y la Regresión Logística. El nivel de significación fue del 5%. Resultados: sufrieron eventos 94 personas mayores del total de 315, siendo del sexo masculino el 60,6%, con edad promedio de 70,7 años, permanencia de 10,6 días y sobrevivencia del 61,7%. De los 183 eventos, predominó el proceso clínico y el procedimiento (37,1%). Se observó que el evento adverso y el tiempo de permanencia en la unidad estaban relacionados (p=0,000; OR=1,10; IC95%=[1,06;1,14]). Conclusión: la identificación de los eventos y de los factores asociados a la vejez auxilia en la prevención de dichos sucesos frente a la vulnerabilidad de ese grupo de edad.

ABSTRACT Objective: to identify the factors associated with the occurrence of adverse events in critical elderly patients admitted to intensive care unit according to demographic and clinical characteristics. Method: a retrospective cohort study was conducted in nine units of a teaching hospital. Data were collected from medical records and from monitoring of nursing shift change. We used the t-test/Mann-Whitney, chi-square and logistic regression to test associations. Significance level of 5% was used. Results: out of the 315 elderly, 94 experienced events. Those who experienced events were men (60.6%) with mean age of 70.7 years, length of hospital stay of 10.6 days and survivors (61.7%). Most of the 183 events were clinical processes and procedures (37.1%). There was an association between adverse event and length of hospital stay in the unit (p=0.000; OR=1.10, 95% CI [1.06, 1.14]). Conclusion: the identification of associated events and factors in the elderly subsidize the prevention of these occurrences before the vulnerability of this age group.

Modelo de análise gradiente boosted do impacto do índice de massa corporal nos desfechos em curto prazo de pacientes clínicos gravemente enfermos / A gradient-boosted model analysis of the impact of body mass index on the short-term outcomes of critically ill medical patients

RESUMO Objetivo: Avaliar o impacto do índice de massa corporal no prognóstico em curto prazo de pacientes gravemente enfermos não cirúrgicos, ao mesmo tempo em que se controla em relação a performance status e comorbidades. Métodos: Análise retrospectiva da base de dados referente a 2 anos de um único centro, incluindo 1.943 pacientes. Avaliamos o impacto do índice de massa corporal na mortalidade hospitalar, utilizando um modelo gradiente boosted, que também incluiu comorbidades, analisadas pelo índice de comorbidades de Charlson; performance status; e gravidade da doença, que foi observada pelo escore SAPS3. O escore SAPS3 foi ajustado para evitar a inclusão duplicada de uma mesma variável no modelo. Também avaliamos o impacto do índice de massa corporal na duração da permanência no hospital, após a permanência na unidade de terapia intensiva, utilizando múltiplas regressões lineares. Resultados: Um valor baixo do índice de massa corporal (< 20kg/m2) se associou com um aumento abrupto na mortalidade hospitalar. A mortalidade subsequentemente tendeu a diminuir, à medida que o índice de massa corporal aumentou, mas o impacto de um índice alto de massa corporal na definição da mortalidade foi baixo. A mortalidade aumentou conforme aumentou o ônus de comorbidades e o performance status diminuiu. O índice de massa corporal interagiu com o impacto do SAPS3 no desfecho dos pacientes, mas não houve interação significante entre índice de massa corporal, performance status e comorbidades. Não houve associação aparente entre o índice de massa corporal e a duração da permanência no hospital após a admissão à unidade de terapia intensiva. Conclusão: O índice de massa corporal não pareceu influenciar nos desfechos em curto prazo de pacientes clínicos gravemente enfermos, que geralmente estão abaixo do peso. Essa associação foi independente de comorbidades e performance status. .

ABSTRACT Objective: To evaluate the impact of body mass index on the short-term prognosis of non-surgical critically ill patients while controlling for performance status and comorbidities. Methods: We performed a retrospective analysis on a two-year single-center database including 1943 patients. We evaluated the impact of body mass index on hospital mortality using a gradient-boosted model that also included comorbidities and was assessed by Charlson’s comorbidity index, performance status and illness severity, which was measured by the SAPS3 score. The SAPS3 score was adjusted to avoid including the same variable twice in the model. We also assessed the impact of body mass index on the length of stay in the hospital after intensive care unit admission using multiple linear regressions. Results: A low value (< 20kg/m2) was associated with a sharp increase in hospital mortality. Mortality tended to subsequently decrease as body mass index increased, but the impact of a high body mass index in defining mortality was low. Mortality increased as the burden of comorbidities increased and as the performance status decreased. Body mass index interacted with the impact of SAPS3 on patient outcome, but there was no significant interaction between body mass index, performance status and comorbidities. There was no apparent association between body mass index and the length of stay at the hospital after intensive care unit admission. Conclusion: Body mass index does appear to influence the shortterm outcomes of critically ill medical patients, who are generally underweight. This association was independent of comorbidities and performance status. .

Feasibility of transitioning from APACHE II to SAPS III as prognostic model in a Brazilian general intensive care unit. A retrospective study / Viabilidade da transição do APACHE II para o SAPS III como modelo prognóstico em uma unidade de terapia intensiva geral no Brasil. Um estudo retrospectivo

CONTEXT AND OBJECTIVE: Prognostic models reflect the population characteristics of the countries from which they originate. Predictive models should be customized to fit the general population where they will be used. The aim here was to perform external validation on two predictive models and compare their performance in a mixed population of critically ill patients in Brazil. DESIGN AND SETTING: Retrospective study in a Brazilian general intensive care unit (ICU). METHODS: This was a retrospective review of all patients admitted to a 41-bed mixed ICU from August 2011 to September 2012. Calibration (assessed using the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test) and discrimination (assessed using area under the curve) of APACHE II and SAPS III were compared. The standardized mortality ratio (SMR) was calculated by dividing the number of observed deaths by the number of expected deaths. RESULTS: A total of 3,333 ICU patients were enrolled. The Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test showed good calibration for all models in relation to hospital mortality. For in-hospital mortality there was a worse fit for APACHE II in clinical patients. Discrimination was better for SAPS III for in-ICU and in-hospital mortality (P = 0.042). The SMRs for the whole population were 0.27 (confidence interval [CI]: 0.23 - 0.33) for APACHE II and 0.28 (CI: 0.22 - 0.36) for SAPS III. CONCLUSIONS: In this group of critically ill patients, SAPS III was a better prognostic score, with higher discrimination and calibration power. .

CONTEXTO E OBJETIVO: Modelos prognósticos refletem as características da população dos países de onde eles são originários. Modelos preditivos devem ser customizados para se adequar à população geral onde eles serão utilizados. O objetivo aqui foi de realizar a validação externa de dois modelos preditivos e comparar o seu desempenho em uma população mista de pacientes graves no Brasil. TIPO DE ESTUDO E LOCAL: Estudo retrospectivo em uma unidade de terapia intensiva geral brasileira. MÉTODOS: Este é um estudo retrospectivo de todos os pacientes internados em uma unidade de terapia intensiva (UTI) mista com 41 leitos entre agosto de 2011 e setembro de 2012. A calibração (avaliada com o teste de Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit) e a discriminação (avaliada como a área sob a curva) do APACHE II e do SAPS III foram comparados. A razão de mortalidade padronizada (SMR) foi calculada pela divisão do número de óbitos observados pelo número de óbitos esperados. RESULTADOS: Um total de 3.333 pacientes internados na UTI foi registrado. O teste de Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit demonstrou boa calibração para todos os modelos em relação a mortalidade hospitalar. Para a mortalidade intra-hospitalar, há um ajuste pior do APACHE II em pacientes clínicos. A discriminação foi melhor para o SAPS III para mortalidade na UTI e no hospital (P = 0,042). A SMR para toda a população foi de 0,27 (intervalo de confiança [IC]: 0,23-0,33) para APACHE II e de 0,28 (IC: 0,22-0,36) para SAPS III. CONCLUSÕES: Neste grupo de pacientes graves, o SAPS III é o melhor escore prognóstico, com a maior discriminação e poder de calibração. .

Efecto del tratamiento antibiótico inicial adecuado sobre la mortalidad en pacientes en estado crítico con bacteriemia por Pseudomonas aeruginosa / Effect of adequate initial antimicrobi al therapy on mortality in critical patients with Pseudomonas aeruginosa bacteremia

Introducción. La bacteriemia es una de las infecciones hospitalarias de mayor mortalidad, especialmente en las unidades de cuidados intensivos, donde es más frecuente. Pseudomonas aeruginosa es uno de los causantes de bacteriemia más agresivos. Objetivo. Evaluar la asociación entre el tratamiento antibiótico inicial y la mortalidad hospitalaria en estos pacientes. Materiales y métodos. Se trata de un estudio de cohorte retrospectivo multicéntrico realizado entre 2005 y 2008. Se consideró tratamiento adecuado aquel iniciado en las primeras 48 horas del diagnóstico que incluyera, al menos, una dosis de antibiótico intravenoso al que P. aeruginosa fuera sensible y hubiera sido suministrado en la dosis y frecuencia recomendadas. El desenlace principal fue la mortalidad hospitalaria en un lapso de 30 días. Se hizo pareo según grado de exposición usando índices de propensión y, posteriormente, análisis paramétrico de supervivencia. Resultados. Se incluyeron 164 pacientes. La mediana de edad y la clasificación del APACHE II ( Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II ) fue de 56 y 13, respectivamente. Se identificó la fuente de la bacteriemia en 68,3 % de los casos, y la más frecuente fue el tracto respiratorio; 44 % de los pacientes recibió tratamiento inadecuado, y la resistencia bacteriana fue la principal variable asociada. La proporción de incidencia de sepsis grave, choque séptico, falla orgánica múltiple y muerte en el lapso de 30 días fue de 67,7, 50, 41,5 y 43,9 %, respectivamente. El tratamiento adecuado se asoció a una prolongación del tiempo hasta el evento (razón de tiempo ajustada, 2,95, IC 95%, 1,63 a 5,33). Conclusión. El tratamiento antibiótico inicial adecuado es un factor protector contra la mortalidad hospitalaria en pacientes con bacteriemia por P. aeruginosa .

Introduction: Among hospital-acquired infections, bacteremia is one of the leading causes of mortality worldwide, especially among intensive care unit patients, where it is more frequent. Pseudomonas aeruginosa is one of the most aggressive agents causing bacteremia. Objective: To evaluate the association between initial antimicrobial therapy and hospital mortality in these patients. Materials and methods: A multicenter and retrospective cohort study was conducted between 2005 and 2008. Antimicrobial therapy was considered adequate if it included at least one intravenous antibiotic to which the P. aeruginosa isolate was susceptible in vitro, was administered at the recommended dose and frequency for bacteremia, and initiated within the first 48 hours from diagnosis. The main outcome was 30-day hospital mortality. Patients were paired according to exposure level using propensity score matching, and then a parametric survival model was fitted. Results: One hundred and sixty four patients were included. Median age and the APACHE II score were 56 and 13, respectively. The source of bacteremia was identified in 68.3 % of cases, the respiratory tract being the most frequent. Forty-four percent of patients received inadequate therapy, with bacterial resistance as the main associated variable. The incidence of severe sepsis, septic shock, multiple organ failure and death within the first 30 days was 67.7, 50, 41.5 and 43.9%, respectively. Adequate therapy was associated with a longer time to the event (adjusted time ratio, 2.95, 95% CI, 1.63 to 5.33). Conclusion: Adequate initial antimicrobial therapy is a protective factor against hospital mortality in patients with P. aeruginosa bacteremia.

Lack of association of S100 and neuron-specific enolase with mortality in critically ill patients

Objective: To evaluate the relationship between brain damage biomarkers and mortality in the intensive care unit (ICU). Methods: The sample comprised 70 patients admitted to an ICU. Blood samples were collected from all patients on ICU admission, and levels of S100β and neuron-specific enolase (NSE) were determined by ELISA. Results: Acute Physiologic and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE II) score was associated with mortality, but NSE and S100β were not associated with this outcome. In contrast, S100β levels were significantly higher in delirious and non-delirious patients who required mechanical ventilation during ICU stay. Conclusion: Levels of brain biomarkers at the time of ICU admission did not predict mortality in critically ill patients. .

Prediction of chronic critical illness in a general intensive care unit / Predição de doença crítica crônica em uma unidade geral de cuidados intensivos resumo

OBJECTIVE: To assess the incidence, costs, and mortality associated with chronic critical illness (CCI), and to identify clinical predictors of CCI in a general intensive care unit. METHODS: This was a prospective observational cohort study. All patients receiving supportive treatment for over 20 days were considered chronically critically ill and eligible for the study. After applying the exclusion criteria, 453 patients were analyzed. RESULTS: There was an 11% incidence of CCI. Total length of hospital stay, costs, and mortality were significantly higher among patients with CCI. Mechanical ventilation, sepsis, Glasgow score < 15, inadequate calorie intake, and higher body mass index were independent predictors for cci in the multivariate logistic regression model. CONCLUSIONS: CCI affects a distinctive population in intensive care units with higher mortality, costs, and prolonged hospitalization. Factors identifiable at the time of admission or during the first week in the intensive care unit can be used to predict CCI.

OBJETIVO: Avaliar a incidência, custos e mortalidade relacionados a doença crítica crônica (DCC) e identificar seus preditores clínicos em uma unidade de terapia intensiva geral. MÉTODOS: Trata-se de uma coorte observacional prospectiva. Todos pacientes que recebiam tratamento de suporte por mais de 20 dias eram considerados doentes críticos crônicos. Permaneceram 453 pacientes após a aplicação dos critérios de exclusão. RESULTADOS: A incidência de DCC foi de 11%. Permanência hospitalar, custos e mortalidade foram significativamente maiores na população com DCC. Ventilação mecânica, sepse, Glasgow escore < 15, inadequada ingestão calórica e elevado índice de massa corporal foram preditores independentes para dcc em um modelo multivariado de regressão logística. CONCLUSÃO: DCC abrangeumadistintapopulaçãonasunidadesde terapiaintensiva apresentando maiores mortalidade, custos e permanência hospitalar. Alguns fatores presentes na admissão ou durante a primeira semana na unidade de terapia intensiva podem ser usados como preditores de DCC.

Is SAPS 3 better than APACHE II at predicting mortality in critically ill transplant patients?

OBJECTIVES: This study compared the accuracy of the Simplified Acute Physiology Score 3 with that of Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II at predicting hospital mortality in patients from a transplant intensive care unit. METHOD: A total of 501 patients were enrolled in the study (152 liver transplants, 271 kidney transplants, 54 lung transplants, 24 kidney-pancreas transplants) between May 2006 and January 2007. The Simplified Acute Physiology Score 3 was calculated using the global equation (customized for South America) and the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II score; the scores were calculated within 24 hours of admission. A receiver-operating characteristic curve was generated, and the area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve was calculated to identify the patients at the greatest risk of death according to Simplified Acute Physiology Score 3 and Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II scores. The Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test was used for statistically significant results and indicated a difference in performance over deciles. The standardized mortality ratio was used to estimate the overall model performance. RESULTS: The ability of both scores to predict hospital mortality was poor in the liver and renal transplant groups and average in the lung transplant group (area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve = 0.696 for Simplified Acute Physiology Score 3 and 0.670 for Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II). The calibration of both scores was poor, even after customizing the Simplified Acute Physiology Score 3 score for South America. CONCLUSIONS: The low predictive accuracy of the Simplified Acute Physiology Score 3 and Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II scores does not warrant the use of these scores in critically ill transplant patients.

Enteral nutrition discontinuation and outcomes in general critically ill patients

OBJECTIVE: To determine the relationship between enteral nutrition discontinuation and outcome in general critically ill patients. MATERIALS AND METHODS: All patients admitted to a mixed intensive care unit in a tertiary care hospital from May-August 2009 were screened for an indication for enteral nutrition. Patients were followed up until leaving the intensive care unit or a maximum of 28 days. The gastrointestinal failure score was calculated daily by adding values of 0 if the enteral nutrition received was identical to the nutrition prescribed, 1 if the enteral nutrition received was at least 75% of that prescribed, 2 if the enteral nutrition received was between 50-75% of that prescribed, 3 if the enteral nutrition received was between 50-25% of that prescribed, and 4 if the enteral nutrition received was less than 25% of that prescribed. RESULTS: The mean, worst, and categorical gastrointestinal failure scores were associated with lower survival in these patients. Age, categorical gastrointestinal failure score, type of admission, need for mechanical ventilation, sequential organ failure assessment, and Acute Physiologic and Chronic Health Evaluation II scores were selected for analysis with binary regression. In both models, the categorical gastrointestinal failure score was related to mortality. CONCLUSION: The determination of the difference between prescribed and received enteral nutrition seemed to be a useful prognostic marker and is feasible to be incorporated into a gastrointestinal failure score.

Hiperinsuflação manual combinada com compressão torácica expiratória para redução do período de internação em UTI em pacientes críticos sob ventilação mecânica / Manual hyperinflation combined with expiratory rib cage compression for reduction of length of ICU stay in critically ill patients on mechanical ventilation

OBJETIVO: Embora a hiperinsuflação manual (HM) seja largamente usada para a remoção de secreções pulmonares, não há evidências para sua recomendação como rotina na prática clínica. O objetivo do estudo foi avaliar o efeito da HM combinada com compressão torácica expiratória (CTE) na duração de internação em UTI e no tempo de ventilação mecânica (VM) em pacientes sob VM. MÉTODOS: Ensaio clínico prospectivo, randomizado e controlado com pacientes de UTI sob VM em um hospital acadêmico terciário entre janeiro de 2004 e janeiro de 2005. Dentre os 49 pacientes que preencheram os critérios do estudo, 24 e 25 foram randomicamente alocados nos grupos fisioterapia respiratória (FR) e controle, respectivamente, sendo que 6 e 8 foram retirados do estudo. Durante o período de observação de 5 dias, os pacientes do grupo FR receberam HM combinada com CTE, enquanto os controles receberam o tratamento padrão de enfermagem. RESULTADOS: Os dois grupos apresentaram características basais semelhantes. A intervenção teve efeito positivo na duração de VM, alta da UTI e escore de Murray. Houve diferenças significativas entre os grupos controle e FR em relação à taxa de sucesso no desmame nos dias 2 (0,0% vs. 37,5%), 3 (0,0% vs. 37,5%), 4 (5,3 vs. 37,5%) e 5 (15,9% vs. 37,5%), assim como à taxa de alta da UTI nos dias 3 (0% vs. 25%), 4 (0% vs. 31%) e 5 (0% vs. 31%). No grupo FR, houve uma melhora significante no escore de Murray no dia 5. CONCLUSÕES: Nossos resultados mostraram que o uso combinado de HM e CTE por 5 dias acelerou o processo de desmame e de alta da UTI.

OBJECTIVE: Although manual hyperinflation (MH) is widely used for pulmonary secretion clearance, there is no evidence to support its routine use in clinical practice. Our objective was to evaluate the effect that MH combined with expiratory rib cage compression (ERCC) has on the length of ICU stay and duration of mechanical ventilation (MV). METHODS: This was a prospective randomized controlled clinical trial involving ICU patients on MV at a tertiary care teaching hospital between January of 2004 and January of 2005. Among the 49 patients who met the study criteria, 24 and 25 were randomly assigned to the respiratory physiotherapy (RP) and control groups, respectively. Of those same patients, 6 and 8, respectively, were later withdrawn from the study. During the 5-day observation period, the RP patients received MH combined with ERCC, whereas the control patients received standard nursing care. RESULTS: The two groups were similar in terms of the baseline characteristics. The intervention had a positive effect on the duration of MV, as well as on the ICU discharge rate and Murray score. There were significant differences between the control and RP groups regarding the weaning success rate on days 2 (0.0% vs. 37.5%), 3 (0.0% vs. 37.5%), 4 (5.3% vs. 37.5%), and 5 (15.9% vs. 37.5%), as well as regarding the ICU discharge rate on days 3 (0% vs. 25%), 4 (0% vs. 31%), and 5 (0% vs. 31%). In the RP group, there was a significant improvement in the Murray score on day 5. CONCLUSIONS: Our results show that the use of MH combined with ERCC for 5 days accelerated the weaning process and ICU discharge.

Red blood cell transfusions worsen the outcomes even in critically ill patients undergoing a restrictive transfusion strategy / Transfusões de concentrados de hemácias pioram os resultados mesmo em pacientes graves, submetidos a estratégia restritiva de transfusão

CONTEXT AND OBJECTIVE: Anemia and blood transfusions are common in intensive care. This study aimed to evaluate epidemiology and outcomes among critically ill patients under a restrictive transfusion strategy. DESIGN AND SETTING: Prospective observational cohort study in an intensive care unit (ICU) at a tertiary hospital. METHODS: All adults admitted to the ICU over a one-year period who remained there for more than 72 hours were included, except those with acute coronary syndrome, ischemic stroke, acute hemorrhage, prior transfusion, pregnant women and Jehovah's Witnesses. The restrictive strategy consisted of transfusion indicated when hemoglobin levels were less than or equal to 7.0 g/dl. RESULTS: The study enrolled 167 patients; the acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II) score was 28.9 ± 6.5. The baseline hemoglobin level was 10.6 ± 2.2 g/dl and on day 28, it was 8.2 ± 1.3 g/dl (P < 0.001). Transfusions were administered to 35% of the patients. In the transfusion group, 61.1% did not survive, versus 48.6% in the non-transfusion group (P = 0.03). Transfusion was an independent risk factor for mortality (P = 0.011; odds ratio, OR = 2.67; 95% confidence interval, CI = 1.25 to 5.69). ICU stay and hospital stay were longer in the transfusion group: 20.0 (3.0-83.0) versus 8.0 (3.0-63.0) days (P < 0,001); and 24.0 (3.0-140.0) versus 14.0 (3.0-80.0) days (P = 0.002), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: In critically ill patients, there was a reduction in hemoglobin with increasing length of ICU stay. Moreover, transfusion was associated with worse prognoses.

CONTEXTO E OBJETIVO: Anemia e transfusões sanguíneas são comuns em terapia intensiva. O objetivo deste estudo foi investigar a epidemiologia e resultados em pacientes críticos sob o regime de transfusão restritiva. TIPO DE ESTUDO E LOCAL: Estudo de coorte, prospectivo e observacional em unidade de terapia intensiva de um hospital terciário. MÉTODOS: Foram incluídos todos adultos admitidos na unidade durante um ano e que permaneceram internados por mais de 72 horas, exceto pacientes com lesão coronariana aguda, isquemia cerebral aguda, hemorragia aguda, transfusão anterior, mulheres grávidas e testemunhas de Jeová. A estratégia restritiva consiste na transfusão indicada com a hemoglobina inferior ou igual a 7.0 g/dl. RESULTADOS: Totalizando 167 pacientes incluídos, APACHE II (Acute Physiology and Chronic Health disease II) foi de 28,9 ± 6,5. O valor da hemoglobina basal foi de 10,6 ± 2.2 g/dl e no 28º dia foi de 8,2 ± 1.3 g/dl (P < 0,001). 35% dos pacientes receberam transfusões. No grupo de transfusão 61,1% não sobreviveram versus 48,6% do grupo não transfusão (P = 0,03). A transfusão foi fator de risco independente de mortalidade (P = 0,011; odds ratio, OR = 2,67; intervalo de confiança, IC 95% = 1,25-5,69). A internação na unidade de terapia intensiva e hospitalar foi maior no grupo de transfusão: 20,0 (3,0-83,0) versus 8,0 (3,0-63,0) dias (P < 0,001); e 24,0 (3,0-140,0) versus 14,0 (3,0-80,0) dias (P = 0,002). CONCLUSÕES: Em pacientes graves, observou-se redução da hemoglobina com a progressão da permanência na UTI. Além disso, a transfusão foi associada com piores prognósticos.

Lactate and base deficit are predictors of mortality in critically ill patients with cancer

OBJECTIVE: Cancer patients frequently require admission to intensive care unit. However, there are a few data regarding predictive factors for mortality in this group of patients. The aim of this study was to evaluate whether arterial lactate or standard base deficit on admission and after 24 hours can predict mortality for patients with cancer. METHODS: We evaluated 1,129 patients with severe sepsis, septic shock, or postoperative after high-risk surgery. Lactate and standard base deficit collected at admission and after 24 hours were compared between survivors and non-survivors. We evaluated whether these perfusion markers are independent predictors of mortality. RESULTS: There were 854 hospital survivors (76.5 percent). 24 h lactate .1.9 mmol/L and standard base deficit , -2.3 were independent predictors of intensive care unit mortality. 24 h lactate .1.9 mmol/L and 24 h standard base deficit , -2.3 mmol/Lwere independent predictors of hospital death. CONCLUSION: Our findings suggest that lactate and standard base deficit measurement should be included in the routine assessment of patients with cancer admitted to the intensive care unit with sepsis, septic shock or after highrisk surgery. These markers may be useful in the adequate allocation of resources in this population.

Hiperglicemia e morbimortalidade em crianças graves: análise crítica baseada em revisão sistemática / Hyperglycemia, morbidity and mortality in critically ill children: critical analysis based on a systematic review

OBJETIVO: Verificar se a hiperglicemia observada em pacientes de terapia intensiva pediátrica é fator de risco para o aumento da morbimortalidade e realizar uma análise crítica das pesquisas em pediatria e neonatologia. MÉTODOS: A técnica empregada foi uma revisão sistemática da literatura sobre hiperglicemia e terapia intensiva pediátrica. O levantamento bibliográfico foi realizado nos bancos de dados Medline, Lilacs, Cochrane Library e Embase, além da utilização de referências bibliográficas de textos escolhidos. Selecionados artigos em língua inglesa e espanhola sendo utilizados para pesquisa os termos hyperglycemia, intensive care units (pediatrics), hospitals, pediatrics e pediatric intensive care. Foram analisados estudos de coorte, retrospectivos e prospectivos. Os desfechos avaliados foram mortalidade durante internação em Unidade de Terapia Intensiva Pediátrica (UTIP); mortalidade durante internação hospitalar; tempo de internação em UTIP; tempo de internação hospitalar; mortalidade por doenças específicas; incidência de infecção; necessidade de ventilação pulmonar mecânica. RESULTADOS: Foram selecionados 79 artigos relacionados ao tema da pesquisa durante o período de estudo. Dentre estes, 15 (19 por cento) consistiam em estudos de coorte (Dois prospectivos e 13 retrospectivos), analisados separadamente. CONCLUSÃO: A partir da análise dos estudos listados concluímos que há evidências de que a hiperglicemia, tanto isolada como persistente durante internação em UTIP, aumenta a morbimortalidade em crianças gravemente doentes, bem como seu tempo de internação hospitalar; entretanto, tais estudos apresentam problemas metodológicos como ausência de protocolos específicos de coleta glicêmica, desenho (maioria coortes retrospectivos) e falta da caracterização isolada da hiperglicemia como preditor de morbimortalidade, sendo necessários, portanto, novos estudos prospectivos.

OBJECTIVE: This article focused on verifying if hyperglycemia in critically ill pediatric patients is a risk factor for increased morbidity and mortality and carried out a critical analysis of the articles in pediatrics and neonatology. METHODS: A systematic review of literature was performed using Medline, Cochrane, Lilacs and Embase databases and references of articles. Articles written in Portuguese, English and Spanish were selected and the terms used in the search were hyperglycemia, intensive care units (pediatrics), hospitals, pediatrics and pediatric intensive care. Cohort studies, retrospective and prospective, were selected for analysis. The outcomes evaluated were mortality during pediatric intensive care unit (PICU) stay, mortality during hospital stay, length-of-stay in the PICU, mortality due to specific diseases, and risk of infection and time of mechanical ventilation. RESULTS: During the study period 79 articles related to hyperglycemiain criticallyillpediatric patients were selected; 15 (19 percent) were cohort studies (2 prospective and 13 retrospective) that were analyzed separately. CONCLUSION: Analysis of these cohort studies supported the conclusion that hyperglycemia, isolated or persistent during stay in PICU, increases morbidity, mortality and length-of-stay in PICU of critically ill children. However, these studies disclosed methodological issues such as lack of protocols for glucose measurement, design (most of them retrospective cohorts) and many articles did not confirm hyperglycemia as a single predictor of morbidity and mortality in pediatrics; therefore further prospective studies are necessary.